Innocent-Group
0x4665586d89f81fd1b2c923a4f710578b8384e006
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Minnesota be the closest state?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Nevada be the tipping point state?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.40Dec 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.30Dec 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nevada be the tipping point state?$0.20Dec 6, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?$0.20Dec 6, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$0.20Dec 2, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota be the closest state?$0.50Nov 29, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $0.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".