Elliptical-Granola
0x4665ea0c66fb8c254bfd1c41ba2976813a062375
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$2.60
Total PnL
$-125.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.65
$0.35
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-1.05
- YES
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
1020 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.30
- YES
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
450 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.50
- YES
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
110 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.05Mar 1, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$13.23Feb 27, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.01Feb 27, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.09Feb 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.01Feb 27, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.61Feb 27, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.10Feb 27, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.01Feb 27, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.01Feb 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.69Feb 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.17Feb 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.77Feb 27, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.00Feb 27, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.58Feb 27, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$3.00Feb 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$1.05Feb 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.48Feb 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rupert Murdoch be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$1.00Feb 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$1.00Feb 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noam Chomsky be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$1.00Feb 27, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 02:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".