Rough-Gap
0x4676a7df1e6ffb3129afc9b0ef1039ddf949ee7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$22.14
Total PnL
$-127.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
360 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.14
$-42.66
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
251 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.28
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?
103 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on January 2?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 2?
22 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on January 2?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$5.28Jan 15, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 15, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 15, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 15, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$50.00Jan 15, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$14.80Jan 13, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 2?$4.90Jan 1, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on January 2?$5.00Jan 1, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on January 2?$5.00Jan 1, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $15.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".