Each-Greens
0x46794eb7470d023f8ebcf52ba97d236ed78d37e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$32.26
Total PnL
$-77.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$32.26
$12.26
- YES
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
110 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
76 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-69.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 2, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$24.43Apr 15, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$69.62Apr 5, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$28.00Apr 5, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$26.97Apr 5, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.70Apr 5, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.33Apr 5, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$21.00Apr 5, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$21.00Apr 5, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?$26.10Apr 5, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$16.81Apr 2, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.02Apr 2, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.46Apr 2, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.05Apr 2, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.61Apr 2, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 2, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.06Apr 2, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$19.80Mar 30, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00Mar 30, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?$22.12Mar 30, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $22.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.