Impish-Earth
0x467c2a3de7d76578118b08429dbf6bc84e6cb168
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-51.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
350 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?
159 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.89
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
98 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 26?
68 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?
40 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
15 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.12Oct 31, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.32Oct 31, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.46Oct 31, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$32.80Oct 30, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$18.00Oct 30, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$4.00Oct 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$20.00Oct 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.50Oct 30, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$69.30Oct 30, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$50.16Oct 29, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$34.18Oct 29, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 29, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$3.00Oct 29, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$6.00Oct 29, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$32.00Oct 29, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 28?$23.63Mar 26, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 28?$20.00Mar 26, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 26?$10.00Mar 26, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 26?$20.00Mar 26, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?$4.40Jan 29, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.