0x467e46e1867459105a03b877763177cc6cfe2a38
0x467e46e1867459105a03b877763177cc6cfe2a38
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
103
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
2970 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.70
- YES
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship?
186 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
167 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-34.65
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
128 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- YES
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 U.S. Open?
104 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ARIZONA WILDCATS
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
104 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-44.23
- LIGHTNING
Canadiens vs. Lightning
101 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-29.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Adam Scott finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$24.75Jul 19, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$20.53Jul 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$1.33Jul 16, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$2.48Jul 16, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Scott finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$5.15Jul 16, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$4.16Jul 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$0.61Jul 16, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$2.01Jul 16, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$62.86Jul 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$20.48Jul 15, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$31.17Jul 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?$20.56Jul 12, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5$18.27Jul 12, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$10.31Jul 12, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$35.36Jul 12, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$10.13Jul 11, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$10.26Jul 11, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMOusmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$35.36Jul 9, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOusmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$10.11Jul 9, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$10.05Jul 9, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.