Adventurous-Invasion
0x46809324063bfdf3407964659686cbc2cdb0a413
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$21.57
Total PnL
$-2.33
Realised
$-0.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$11.11
$1.11
- NO
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.36
$0.01
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan"?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$548.90Oct 31, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$1.00Oct 26, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan"?$1.00Oct 26, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$557.80Oct 26, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for the Animals win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.00Oct 26, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$10.00Oct 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?$1.05Oct 26, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea x South Korea military clash by June 30?$1.05Oct 26, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMFirst round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?$1.49Oct 26, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on Israel by Monday?$2.60Oct 26, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMMajor cyberattack on Iran in June?$2.78Oct 26, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor cyberattack on Iran in June?$2.00Jun 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Monday?$2.00Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?$1.00Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?$0.00Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEM RFK's daughter-in-law picked as CIA deputy director?$1.01Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?$1.02Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.04Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.05Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?$1.00Mar 14, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $35.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 04:44 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".