Incomplete-Violation
0x46825cfda81f46ca2efc2eb9cf4123c6b8b61b94
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$151.01
Total PnL
$-499.18
Realised
$9.34
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
300 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$76.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
117 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$59.09
$-1.75
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
70 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$11.55
$-0.35
- JAPAN
Spread: Japan (-1.5)
43 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.87
$-1.29
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
199 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
132 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
120 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
113 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
104 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.05Jun 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5$2.30Jun 4, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5$26.18Jun 3, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.06Jun 3, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$10.89Jun 3, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$8.98Jun 3, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$7.37Jun 3, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$7.11Jun 3, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$11.04Jun 3, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$7.24Jun 3, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.15Jun 3, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$14.74Jun 3, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$7.32Jun 3, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$7.29Jun 3, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$21.25Jun 3, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$7.01May 31, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$61.72May 31, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$79.73May 31, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$12.20May 31, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $20.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 04:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".