Possible-Chauvinist
0x46838694c7486b51892dfc8610ee8a40c2069346
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.07
Total PnL
$-442.91
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$2.07
$0.68
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
814 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-105.79
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
775 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-235.96
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will another team win the 2024 Euros?
189 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?
164 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-32.75
- YES
Will Georgia Win?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?
25 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.42Apr 21, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$0.02Sep 12, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$105.92Aug 22, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$235.96Dec 6, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$236.96Dec 6, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$162.85Dec 4, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$200.00Dec 3, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$50.00Dec 3, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2024 Euros?$802.75Jul 14, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2024 Euros?$9.90Jul 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?$8.33Jul 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2024 Euros?$80.00Jul 1, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the match be a draw?$0.00Jul 1, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2024 Euros?$25.00Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia Win?$5.00Jun 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2024 Euros?$10.00Jun 30, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey win the 2024 Euros?$5.00Jun 30, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?$10.00Jun 30, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match be a draw?$15.00Jun 30, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2024 Euros?$22.85Jun 20, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $69.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".