Arid-Renaissance
0x4684cf8e62b23fa666d64eaa4236db75202b82f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-478.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?
883 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.88
- HORNETS
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
244 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-124.44
- UNDER
Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5
212 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-95.40
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
136 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- UNDER
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
116 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-59.16
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.40 on January 5?
90 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 25?
89 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-44.50
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?
83 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-41.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 11?$97.00Jan 14, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 11?$96.81Jan 11, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$0.10Jan 7, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$0.09Jan 7, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$0.11Jan 7, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$0.09Jan 7, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$0.10Jan 7, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$0.10Jan 7, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$0.10Jan 7, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$0.09Jan 7, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$0.09Jan 7, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $1.40 on January 5?$90.00Jan 7, 18:21 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of XRP be less than $1.40 on January 5?$90.00Jan 2, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?$83.00Jan 1, 09:30 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?$83.00Dec 28, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 25?$89.00Dec 26, 08:02 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 25?$89.00Dec 23, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$695.00Dec 11, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$138.86Dec 7, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$138.86Dec 7, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $63.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".