0x4690c6143b913865ca1da118b585a5a163b3b813
0x4690c6143b913865ca1da118b585a5a163b3b813
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-895.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Dogecoin above $0.18 on April 4?
900 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Will Liberals lead by 0-1% on April 4?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?
350 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-224.00
- NO
Will Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?
320 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-179.20
- NO
Will Trump say "Japan" during tariff event on April 2?
305 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-118.95
- NO
March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?
275 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-132.00
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Gold" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
255 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-96.90
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his May 13 interview?
195 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-99.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2025$0.00
$-13.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$85.56May 29, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$6.84May 29, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$75.60May 29, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$11.20May 29, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on May 28?$165.00May 29, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 29?$5.00May 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (10 AM ET Candle)$20.00May 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (10 AM ET Candle)$20.40May 28, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Gold" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$96.90May 27, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance say "Free speech" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$117.30May 27, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Decentralized" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$2.05May 27, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Free speech" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$110.50May 27, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 28?$5.00May 27, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 28?$82.50May 27, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$5.30May 19, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$5.00May 19, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$1.85May 16, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on May 14?$1.95May 14, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 14?$1.80May 14, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his May 13 interview?$20.40May 13, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $38.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".