Ill-Fated-Theme
0x46989f33cb724c214dd5b5120de113e102a6b52f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Celtics
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Bucks vs. Thunder
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
175 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Hawks$3.52May 17, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$7.64May 17, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$7.00Apr 23, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$3.57Apr 23, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$3.00Apr 23, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$3.65Apr 23, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$3.00Apr 23, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.42Apr 23, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Hawks$2.00Apr 23, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$4.00Apr 22, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.00Apr 22, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?$0.00Apr 7, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.26Mar 11, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Feb 21, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 23:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.