Adolescent-Pantology
0x469933171b84b7a218ff455480f0439807c1d412
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.7K
Realised
$-7.9K
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
4241 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-63.40
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
1124 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1031 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
963 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-953.44
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 2, 10PM ET
759 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-378.04
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 1, 6PM ET
749 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-259.86
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
748 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-732.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
740 shares @ 70.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-522.65
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
704 shares @ 73.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-515.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
704 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-506.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 11AM ET$14.90Aug 17, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 11AM ET$14.89Aug 17, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 10AM ET$14.90Aug 17, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 17, 10AM ET$14.90Aug 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 10AM ET$14.89Aug 17, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 10AM ET$14.89Aug 17, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 9AM ET$14.90Aug 17, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 9AM ET$14.89Aug 17, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 17, 8AM ET$32.96Aug 17, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 8AM ET$14.89Aug 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 8AM ET$17.90Aug 17, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 6AM ET$14.90Aug 17, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 17, 6AM ET$152.52Aug 17, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 6AM ET$5.00Aug 17, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 6AM ET$14.89Aug 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 6AM ET$67.25Aug 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 6AM ET$79.19Aug 17, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 17, 5AM ET$24.50Aug 17, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 5AM ET$24.48Aug 17, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 17, 4AM ET$308.77Aug 17, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $48.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 16:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.