Alive-Bunch
0x469f106b5bebb20fd777dcc514fb28d1ec959d79
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $425 - 430b on February 28?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
9 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
8 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill egg prices be greater than $5 for January?$0.00Feb 16, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin be more than $104000 on February 14?$0.00Feb 16, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk tweet 350-399 times February 7-14?$0.00Feb 16, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill egg prices be greater than $5 for January?$1.30Feb 8, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?$1.32Feb 8, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$1.50Feb 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$0.67Feb 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet 350-399 times February 7-14?$1.50Feb 8, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin be more than $104000 on February 14?$1.50Feb 8, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$3.63Feb 8, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?$2.00Feb 6, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$2.00Feb 6, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.50Feb 6, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 6, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$2.00Feb 6, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$2.00Feb 6, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 6, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $425 - 430b on February 28?$1.00Feb 6, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$2.00Feb 6, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$5.00Feb 6, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".