Alarming-Scrutiny
0x46a126607ef4636590a5fe002176af5af33c6cde
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$86.41
Total PnL
$-53.25
Realised
$-11.18
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Ethereum above $3800 on August 29?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$50.00
$0.05
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
20 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$20.00
$1.04
- NO
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.92
$0.03
- NO
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$4.49
$0.01
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?
150 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?
95 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-27.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 30, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 29, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 23, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 01:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 16, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.