Grouchy-Lung
0x46a4068c1873d4d4afc17a268dc591e4561a60da
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
10000 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-751.04
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
8484 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-47.92
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
7500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-450.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
3594 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-467.34
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 9?
2700 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-778.00
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.90 in December?
1142 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-433.95
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
793 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-133.42
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
737 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-401.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$181.50Dec 10, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?$173.52Dec 10, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?$6.93Dec 10, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$219.78Dec 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.90 in December?$51.80Dec 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?$172.69Dec 10, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?$18.62Dec 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?$5.37Dec 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$12.79Dec 10, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.90 in December?$10.75Dec 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$4.47Dec 10, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?$4.00Dec 10, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Dissenter" during December press conference?$2.27Dec 10, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?$2.08Dec 10, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?$22.80Dec 10, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?$2.23Dec 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?$13.92Dec 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?$1.25Dec 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?$53.91Dec 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?$8.00Dec 10, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $31.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".