Simplistic-Shark
0x46a559235296d63e5356b0827f2569df96099d49
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?
151 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times Dec 6-13?
149 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Austin Scott be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
147 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Trump win West Virginia by the largest margin?
142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will another company be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
135 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?
127 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win Rhode Island by the largest margin?
124 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Texas be the closest state?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Trump nominate John Paulson for Treasury Secretary?
117 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?
117 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$36.00Feb 2, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$34.74Jan 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.01Jan 17, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.70Jan 17, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.55Jan 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.08Jan 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.08Jan 17, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.17Jan 16, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bengals win the AFC Championship?$0.15Jan 5, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 3, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 3, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 3, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 3, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 3, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.02Jan 3, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.01Jan 3, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 3, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 3, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".