Insistent-Grassland
0x46a97cb2abe315f636b8427e4e50306347bd223a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$16.46
Total PnL
$-100.31
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
16 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$16.46
$0.62
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Reiwa Shinsengumi hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
92 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
51 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?
28 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- MAPLE LEAFS
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres
25 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
23 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Databricks IPO in 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$16.26Jan 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$15.77Jan 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$15.76Jan 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$32.00Jan 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$32.00Jan 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$32.00Jan 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$31.99Jan 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$32.03Jan 12, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$7.70Jan 12, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$24.33Jan 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$17.15Dec 27, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$11.00Dec 16, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$2.28Dec 16, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$3.13Dec 13, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Dec 13, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3.75Dec 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3.00Dec 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$3.00Dec 2, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.15Dec 2, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Dec 2, 17:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $8.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".