Meek-Frock
0x46b077887d30f5ad2b8d2d0072764d7f6917a453
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.93
Realised
$5.13
Win rate
3%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?
505 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 25?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on June 3?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?
152 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C or higher on June 2?
149 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 26?
122 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 2?
120 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8?$1.05Jun 8, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 8?$1.05Jun 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on June 4?$1.05Jun 3, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 3?$1.05Jun 3, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?$3.64Jun 3, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?$1.04Jun 2, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on June 3?$1.05Jun 2, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 2?$1.05Jun 1, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 2?$1.05Jun 1, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C or higher on June 2?$1.05Jun 1, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?$5.87Jun 1, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?$3.13May 31, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?$2.22May 31, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 30?$1.05May 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 30?$1.05May 29, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 30?$5.16May 29, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?$1.05May 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?$5.17May 29, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?$7.27May 29, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?$3.15May 29, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
35 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.