Optimistic-Map
0x46b0afda72ef9ac234484d83375125dc4037efa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$279.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
53750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-103.47
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
36818 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-660.00
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
12626 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
5606 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-339.00
- NO
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
5000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-452.41
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
4926 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-262.94
- YES
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
3950 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-320.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOver $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$178.00Feb 5, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$200.00Feb 5, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$100.00Feb 5, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$100.00Feb 5, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$0.99Feb 5, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$0.11Feb 5, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$162.94Feb 5, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$120.94Feb 5, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$342.00Jan 6, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?$17.38Jan 6, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?$104.00Jan 6, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?$104.30Jan 6, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?$120.00Jan 6, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?$225.15Jan 6, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$32.28Jan 6, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$34.67Dec 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$26.40Dec 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$17.60Dec 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$17.60Dec 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$17.60Dec 22, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $41.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 15:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.