Pleasant-Polliwog
0x46b291041d44d47ea51684f665e9903185f2659f
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.69
Total PnL
$-1.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 20?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$1.45
$0.01
- NO
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.24
$0.01
- YES
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.23Mar 15, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 20?$1.44Mar 15, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 8?$26.74Mar 15, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 8?$13.53Jan 5, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 8?$11.00Jan 4, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 30?$7.50Jan 4, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 30?$8.00Jan 4, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 30?$7.60Dec 24, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 30?$7.20Dec 24, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.24Dec 24, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.35Dec 24, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$100.35Dec 24, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$100.46Dec 24, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.19Dec 17, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$5.36Dec 17, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $140 on December 15?$1.20Dec 17, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on December 15?$1.12Dec 14, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 11?$1.01Dec 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?$8.00Dec 10, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$2.70Dec 9, 16:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $35.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.