Spicy-Scrutiny
0x46b41cbcef85169ac433d5c46ead7700c4de1937
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.41
Total PnL
$-1.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$2.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.33
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump say "Doug" or "Burgum" this week? (March 22)
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hot as a pistol" this week? (April 5)
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 6?$1.34Apr 11, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.37Apr 11, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hot as a pistol" this week? (April 5)$1.30Apr 5, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.30Apr 5, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.32Mar 30, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$1.43Mar 28, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?$2.01Mar 28, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Doug" or "Burgum" this week? (March 22)$1.30Mar 23, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMVCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.35Mar 23, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$1.30Mar 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$1.30Mar 22, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 21?$2.05Mar 22, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21?$1.30Mar 22, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMHigh Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks$2.32Mar 22, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.30Mar 22, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.30Mar 22, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMTCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils$2.29Mar 22, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYVCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.30Mar 22, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".