0x46b438221cea053fc6092af597da395aa5ba72e9
0x46b438221cea053fc6092af597da395aa5ba72e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$32.56
Total PnL
$-578.31
Realised
$-102.95
Win rate
23%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- NO
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.25
$0.05
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 57.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.30
$2.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.00
$1.32
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.19
$-0.03
- NO
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
9 shares @ 34.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.22
$-1.87
- NO
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.40
$-1.58
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the VA-10 House seat?
1 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.8¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$0.21
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
9501 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
4442 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$2.06Jun 4, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.22Jun 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $9.20Jun 4, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$10.00May 24, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.90May 24, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$6.80May 24, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.63May 24, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?$3.72May 24, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?$1.67May 24, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?$1.89May 24, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.59May 23, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.15May 23, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.00May 23, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.90May 23, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OL Lyonnes win on 2026-05-23?$4.23May 23, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OL Lyonnes win on 2026-05-23?$4.32May 23, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$2.00May 23, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$0.28May 22, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?$1.36May 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.02May 21, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".