Muddy-Wholesale
0x46bad85b989efe679871d1e253a2da54d8af67b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$44.73
Total PnL
$-190.87
Realised
$0.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19?
214 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$12.71
$-8.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 19?
925 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$11.10
$-25.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 19?
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$9.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 19?
1200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$6.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 19?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.25
$-6.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 19?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.35
$-0.15
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13?
10200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?
9000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13?
6533 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13?$10.91Jun 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13?$6.99Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$14.12Jun 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.63Jun 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$28.21Jun 13, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?$13.33Jun 13, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19?$22.32Jun 13, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 19?$25.61Jun 13, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 19?$0.08Jun 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 19?$7.85Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 19?$1.00Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 19?$0.53Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19?$0.32Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 19?$0.07Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 19?$0.14Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 19?$0.50Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 19?$12.83Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 19?$0.50Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 19?$0.53Jun 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 19?$12.81Jun 13, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 01:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.