Misguided-Simple
0x46c708d6231608c10e052d48b769cf1d577c71a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-522.35
Realised
$-4.12
Win rate
42%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 17?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 16?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 13?
425 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 8?
189 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 12?
189 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on April 16?
152 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 16?
147 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 22?
147 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 8?
146 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 15?
143 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 23?$0.00Apr 24, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 23?$1.33Apr 23, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 23?$3.30Apr 23, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?$20.29Apr 23, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 23?$5.19Apr 23, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 23?$1.00Apr 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 23?$0.00Apr 23, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 23?$0.21Apr 23, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 23?$0.41Apr 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 23?$0.20Apr 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 23?$1.18Apr 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?$1.08Apr 23, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 23?$0.39Apr 23, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?$2.30Apr 23, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 23?$1.05Apr 23, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23?$5.00Apr 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 23?$0.92Apr 23, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 23?$0.05Apr 23, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 23?$0.03Apr 23, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.