Modern-Pocketbook
0x46c9e896ad01e8bcb3da667a25638e98585e7636
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-17.88
Realised
$2.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
218 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$216.53
$4.69
- NO
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
227 shares @ 78.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$192.78
$15.64
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
278 shares @ 74.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.58
$-16.92
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
147 shares @ 92.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$144.19
$7.59
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$126.00
$-22.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 91.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$74.48
$4.48
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2078 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.77
$-16.83
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
57 shares @ 87.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.25
$1.25
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 83.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$39.85
$-4.07
- YES
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
181 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$38.82
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$5.58May 30, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$6.97May 30, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$120.00May 30, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$8.39May 30, 03:27 UTC
- MERGEWill Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?$6.00May 29, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$35.93May 29, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 28, 2026?$36.79May 29, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$9.09May 29, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$2.72May 29, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$121.11May 29, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$127.50May 29, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$11.84May 29, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$100.00May 29, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$110.99May 29, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$72.96May 29, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$9.74May 29, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$15.58May 29, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$10.18May 28, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$15.55May 28, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$9.97May 28, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $44.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".