Frosty-Lack
0x46ce2ce7adc4786092c7ddcee6d889f67ee5352c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$24.73
Total PnL
$-751.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
590 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.51
$-8.55
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
812 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.09
$-48.62
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.91
$-4.09
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$-3.77
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3175 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
781 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-97.00
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
458 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.50May 7, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.50May 7, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.50May 7, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.38May 7, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.00May 6, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.79May 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.49May 6, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.82May 6, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.67May 6, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.32May 6, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.51May 6, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.27May 6, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.70May 6, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.34May 6, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.25May 6, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.66May 6, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.77May 6, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.10May 6, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.51May 5, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.51May 5, 21:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 15:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".