Muddy-Punishment
0x46d1a192cda2486e0819dbe4495db3e5576b8d0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$-5.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- ATHLETICS
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)
386 shares @ 77.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$383.87
$83.87
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1256 shares @ 23.9¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$295.17
$-4.83
- NO
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
417 shares @ 72.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$279.37
$-20.62
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
360 shares @ 55.5¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$261.27
$61.27
- NO
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
361 shares @ 83.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$193.39
$-106.61
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
196 shares @ 68.6¢·now 64.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$126.57
$-7.73
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2564 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$106.41
$6.41
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
169 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.15
$-0.85
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.06
$-0.94
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
69 shares @ 72.0¢·now 35.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.76
$-25.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$714.29May 31, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)$361.45May 31, 02:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$102.25May 30, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$100.00May 30, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs China$51.27May 30, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.01May 30, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$405.28May 30, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$44.97May 30, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds$203.24May 30, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets$554.98May 30, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLLos Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays$244.75May 30, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds$101.59May 30, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$50.42May 30, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles$100.85May 30, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds$101.53May 30, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$302.52May 30, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles$101.69May 30, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-4.5)$302.00May 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)$301.53May 30, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $190.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".