Nimble-Break
0x46d5bf9756ddd4447da3f0e501024f96cd171b8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$37.50
Total PnL
$-192.97
Realised
$8.23
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14?
71 shares @ 49.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$37.50
$2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 4?
1313 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 4?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?
320 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 1?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 12?
107 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 12?
54 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14?$35.89Jul 14, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 15?$20.64Jul 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 15?$28.06Jul 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?$0.39Jul 12, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?$1.78Jul 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?$1.75Jul 12, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?$0.33Jul 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?$0.59Jul 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?$0.50Jul 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?$4.29Jul 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$10.35Jul 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?$2.10Jul 12, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?$5.74Jul 11, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 12?$4.19Jul 11, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 12?$3.15Jul 11, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?$2.00Jul 11, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?$10.00Jul 11, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?$8.18Jul 11, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 11?$119.34Jul 11, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.