Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-490.09

Realised

$-27.88

Win rate

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 65

NO
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 25?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
54 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-17.10
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
53 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
49 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
49 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-27.11
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
49 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-25.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
41 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
40 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$4.99Jan 29, 23:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$5.00Jan 29, 23:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.00Jan 29, 16:59 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$4.83Jan 29, 16:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.00Jan 29, 16:57 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$15.24Jan 29, 16:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$8.51Jan 29, 16:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$5.00Jan 29, 16:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Jan 29, 16:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$12.05Jan 29, 16:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$3.12Jan 29, 16:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.00Jan 29, 15:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$6.00Jan 29, 15:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Jan 29, 15:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$14.07Jan 29, 15:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Jan 29, 15:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Jan 29, 15:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$8.00Jan 29, 15:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Jan 29, 15:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$10.04Jan 29, 15:08 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry68 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 39
Avg trade size: $3.05
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 30, 09:51 UTC
Last active: Jan 29, 23:33 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:16:44 UTC·src:Polymarket Data