Positive-Landmine
0x46d91047c0dd65cb6ce280043496fdd1a800e605
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$5.45
Total PnL
$-30.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 92.7¢·now 74.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.42
$-0.58
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2006 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.03Jan 26, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$1.00Jan 26, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 21, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.02Jan 15, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 7, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 7, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.02Jan 7, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMGPT ads by December 31?$1.05Jan 7, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.09Jan 7, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.01Dec 12, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.08Dec 11, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.00Dec 11, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 9, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by December 31?$1.00Dec 8, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".