Milky-Supply
0x46dde77840aea5031b1d3e0429bec6c0bf056dc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-613.08
Realised
$-147.23
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
220 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-60.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
132 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-36.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
109 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
74 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
72 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
59 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
56 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.05Jul 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.05Jul 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. England: Team to Win$1.00Jul 18, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$2.27Jul 15, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.04Jul 15, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.00Jul 15, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.04Jul 15, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: England (-1.5)$2.00Jul 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: England (-1.5)$0.99Jul 14, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?$1.05Jul 12, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: France (-1.5)$0.99Jul 12, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.06Jul 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.05Jul 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.05Jul 12, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.07Jul 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.04Jul 12, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.04Jul 12, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.06Jul 12, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$3.81Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?$1.05Jul 11, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.