Thin-Dirndl
0x46e5d7bf7883116fd6f6c1aa846fa4e59d0f5c73
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.65
Total PnL
$-79.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
43 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.81
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
17 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Mar 4, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$0.00Mar 3, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.41Mar 3, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?$0.00Mar 3, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$0.00Mar 3, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$0.00Mar 3, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?$0.00Mar 3, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$0.00Mar 3, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$3.06Mar 3, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?$5.74Mar 3, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$22.88Mar 3, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$4.00Jan 31, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 31, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$1.00Jan 31, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$10.00Jan 31, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.