Imaginary-Skullcap
0x46e7af28babc784bd1b75ae0a10623181dd7f51e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-40.10
Realised
$207.21
Win rate
97%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Malawi vs Eswatini - Toss Match Double Draw
3258 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?
2029 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- NO
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-02-28?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Notts County FC win on 2026-03-28?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on April 28?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
1993 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
1988 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- UNDER
Pigato vs. Gjorcheska: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
1925 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- NO
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings - Most Sixes Lucknow Super Giants Winner
1856 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$0.03Jul 28, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$0.05Jul 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$0.05Jul 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$0.36Jul 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$0.56Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$0.10Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$0.56Jul 28, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$0.46Jul 28, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$0.10Jul 28, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$0.56Jul 28, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$0.44Jul 28, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 30?$0.22Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 29?$0.23Jul 28, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C or higher on July 30?$0.02Jul 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 29?$0.22Jul 28, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill episode not air?$0.94Jul 28, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 29?$1.00Jul 28, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$0.21Jul 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 29?$0.09Jul 28, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 29?$0.02Jul 28, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
97% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
39 closed markets, 97% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.