Yellowish-Capitulation
0x46eb0e430dc6f2ec4e89a1bdd8a61c18c879278a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$21.19
Total PnL
$-29.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in October 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Solana reach $350 in October?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?$1.00Oct 14, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.50 in October?$1.00Oct 14, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Oct 14, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in October?$1.00Oct 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$1.00Oct 14, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$4.7KOct 14, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.0KOct 14, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.5KOct 14, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$3.2KOct 14, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.0KOct 14, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 55°F or below on October 14?$1.00Oct 14, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.9KOct 14, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.1KOct 14, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.6KOct 14, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.0KOct 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$950.00Oct 14, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.1KOct 14, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Helena Moreno win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?$1.01Oct 14, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 13?$1.01Oct 14, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$2.0KOct 14, 01:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $834.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 11:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".