Fortunate-Hostel
0x46f0bc37a748a74983f0c2d40c4e343e29b7fe05
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$171.29
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
1028 shares @ 60.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$663.26
$46.39
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
6234 shares @ 11.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$405.24
$-302.64
- YES
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$29.00
$-1.00
- TEXAS RANGERS
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
400 shares @ 32.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$18.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
2 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.18
$-0.23
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?
40582 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-336.14
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?
28114 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-898.92
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
16478 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.23
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?
10728 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.18
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
10000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPistons vs. Cavaliers$41.271h ago
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$53.751h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$1.271h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)$56.002h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)$72.002h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: New York Yankees (-2.5)$72.602h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-2.5)$112.002h ago
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5$63.702h ago
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5$36.542h ago
- TRADESELLWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$33.069h ago
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5$4.379h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$48.759h ago
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5$104.969h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)$323.8422h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)$10.601d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)$18.551d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)$10.601d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)$10.601d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)$18.551d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)$1.641d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $88.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
