Pointless-Bean
0x46f1647c7406d62e67f3ae106215646b40affbbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?
2420 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?
1935 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
1753 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 9?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 16?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 13-19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 13?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.23Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15?$104.10Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15?$104.01Jun 15, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$104.10Jun 15, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$104.01Jun 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?$104.10Jun 7, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?$104.01Jun 3, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?$4.14Jun 3, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$108.91Jun 3, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$108.80May 31, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$108.11May 31, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$108.01May 27, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$4.20May 27, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$112.11May 27, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$112.01May 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$5.08May 23, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$117.92May 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$117.80May 17, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$117.12May 17, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $65.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.