0x46f243bf610ed3d9df88732cd67002b75104ce14
0x46f243bf610ed3d9df88732cd67002b75104ce14
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.52
Total PnL
$-257.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 12-18?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?
2382 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-70.97
- YES
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
1514 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-57.36
- NO
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
760 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-91.20
- NO
1,415+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 5?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 12-18?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$1.00Oct 21, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$3.30Oct 15, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY1,415+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 5?$7.31Aug 27, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$43.20Aug 27, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY1,415+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 5?$26.69Aug 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$9.40Aug 27, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$24.00Aug 27, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$24.00Aug 27, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?$70.97Aug 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?$1.00Aug 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 12-18?$1.00Aug 15, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 12-18?$1.00Aug 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$8.60Aug 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?$5.00Dec 28, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?$8.89Dec 28, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?$43.48Dec 25, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$57.00Dec 21, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$33.63Dec 17, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $18.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 21, 22:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".