Negligible-Engine
0x46f41fa20914fcf501e7ff4439706f04a72c8612
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$22.53
Total PnL
$-106.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
31 shares @ 36.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.26
$6.26
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.83
$-3.17
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?
2780 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?
2122 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
25 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 14, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.09Jan 14, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 30?$0.00Dec 24, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$0.00Dec 24, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.00Dec 24, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 30?$4.01Dec 24, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 30?$4.00Nov 10, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$1.00Nov 7, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?$21.00Oct 30, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$19.00Oct 30, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?$20.00Oct 30, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$20.00Oct 30, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?$10.00Oct 30, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?$16.00Oct 30, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 30, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Oct 30, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$11.00Oct 30, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$11.00Oct 30, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $9.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".