Unknown-Authorization
0x4708d4e1c38265f13f6ffa46958e53fb294efc3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$11.09
Total PnL
$-111.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$-0.06
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 23?
3541 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 26?
3366 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3?
3321 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?
2362 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 20?
1171 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?
1153 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 15?
1147 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 13?
1128 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$9.93Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$9.90Jun 12, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$11.55Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$11.50May 26, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$11.75May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$11.70May 19, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$11.73May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$11.70May 12, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$11.73May 5, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$11.70May 4, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$3.31May 4, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$3.29Apr 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.13Apr 10, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$3.42Mar 31, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$0.04Mar 31, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 26?$1.1KMar 27, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 26?$1.1KMar 26, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?$1.1KMar 26, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?$1.1KMar 25, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?$1.1KMar 25, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $704.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.