Grizzled-Abrogation
0x470a7842a7ae69c102ada460fba282e3f8501d76
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-84.8K
Realised
$499.96
Win rate
97%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
3867 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-688.64
- GAM ESPORTS
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 3 Winner
3126 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-65.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2849 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2620 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DN FREECS
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
2500 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
2300 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1866 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-830.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1844 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-855.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
1811 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-810.48
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
1782 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-820.16
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$50.40Jul 11, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.82Jul 11, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.68Jul 11, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.63Jul 11, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.68Jul 11, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.63Jul 11, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.53Jul 11, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.53Jul 11, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.48Jul 11, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.49Jul 11, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$3.77Jul 11, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$15.11Jul 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$4.77Jul 11, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$4.53Jul 11, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.39Jul 11, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$16.15Jul 11, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.94Jul 11, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.13Jul 11, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.84Jul 11, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
88/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
97% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
36 closed markets, 97% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.