Necessary-Grey
0x470b8786be3101ed01d402a5508806143ced56ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-26.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump win 7 swing states?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$10.00
$8.00
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
56 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Trump win 5 swing states?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Trump win 6 swing states?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump win 4 swing states?$0.00Nov 8, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 8, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 7 swing states?$2.00Nov 5, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 6 swing states?$1.50Nov 5, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$2.10Nov 5, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 4 swing states?$1.70Nov 5, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$11.00Nov 5, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$20.00Nov 5, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$56.60Nov 5, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS inflation >0.1% from April to May 2024?$0.00Sep 18, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill May 2024 show an increase between 1.17°C-1.23°C$10.20Sep 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$30.00Sep 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Sep 7, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$0.00May 26, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by Friday?$32.26May 26, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETH hit $4k by Friday?$34.92May 26, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$25.00May 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$35.00May 23, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill May 2024 show an increase between 1.17°C-1.23°C$5.00May 23, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEM$GME all time high by Friday?$10.00May 23, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $15.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".