Hopeful-Monkey
0x470d578c5b178fdd74f3278e41bf6ad244d5c245
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$120.02
Total PnL
$-15.3K
Realised
$510.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
108 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$108.00
$1.51
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$8.81
$0.01
- NO
Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$3.22
$0.02
- RED SOX
Angels vs. Red Sox
26855 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-15.8K
- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
8 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$106.49Jan 31, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$2.00Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?$2.01Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ketel Marte win the 2025 NL MVP?$2.01Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.35Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?$4.20Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$4.50Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?$5.01Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.74Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$12.03Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$13.01Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$8.80Nov 4, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$12.70Nov 4, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$11.90Oct 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?$4.20Oct 6, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in Q3 2025?$2.00Oct 6, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?$2.05Oct 6, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?$2.13Oct 6, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?$2.32Oct 6, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$3.11Oct 6, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".