Modern-Shackle
0x470eb8122e99df8ff6219973d0b9e5db1c27b228
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.86
Total PnL
$-9.93
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?
180 shares @ 0.6¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.85
$3.68
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.03May 30, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?$0.28May 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?$0.03May 30, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$0.03May 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 23, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?$1.33May 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 23, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?$1.04May 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$1.06May 23, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?$1.07May 23, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.07May 23, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.07May 23, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.06May 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in March?$1.00Mar 17, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in March?$1.00Mar 17, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 18?$1.00Mar 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 18?$0.80Mar 17, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 17?$1.04Mar 17, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $0.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 06:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 19:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.