Outlying-Petticoat
0x470f3c3db5a15fc97faa730457eef28a4293400f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$31.33
Total PnL
$-6.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
8 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$7.63
$0.13
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Vít Rakušan be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$5.21
$0.01
- NO
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.80
$0.00
- NO
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.13
$0.03
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.48
$-0.02
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Thunder
11 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.34
- B8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)
11 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.48
- ORIOLES
Rangers vs. Orioles
6 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$7.00Jan 10, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?$2.80Jan 10, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)$2.48Dec 5, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Thunder$1.34Dec 5, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7.50Nov 2, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no coalition by October 31?$5.00Nov 2, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.75Nov 2, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?$2.92Nov 2, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$22.67Nov 2, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$22.60Oct 20, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$2.61Oct 20, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $116K on September 1?$5.00Oct 20, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet between 300 and 329 times August 29–September 5?$6.00Oct 20, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 in September?$6.35Oct 20, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $100 in September?$6.27Sep 14, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vít Rakušan be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$5.20Sep 14, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 300 and 329 times August 29–September 5?$5.99Sep 1, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $116K on September 1?$5.00Sep 1, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$5.23Sep 1, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in August?$7.23Sep 1, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.