Miserly-Pleasure
0x4710dacc64097681cf7feac5459e7cd91ceaaa1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$47.83
Total PnL
$-14.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.95
$-0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?
10 shares @ 82.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$8.45
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 22?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$5.00
$0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.63
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 22?
5 shares @ 95.2¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$4.46
$-0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.85
$-0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.77
$0.27
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 23?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.70
$-0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.33
$-0.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.70
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?$3.65Jul 22, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?$5.52Jul 22, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?$3.40Jul 22, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 22?$1.32Jul 22, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 22?$3.44Jul 22, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 23?$3.80Jul 22, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 22?$4.52Jul 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$4.05Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$3.55Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 23?$4.47Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$4.47Jul 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$4.23Jul 22, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?$4.70Jul 22, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 15?$7.00Jul 22, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Clippers$13.00Jul 22, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by January 15?$22.00Jul 22, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 15?$4.48Jan 15, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 15?$2.05Jan 15, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Pacers$5.00Jan 15, 07:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.