Concerned-Violin
0x4713d8af65df8f97790852af71119d41684e884e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
147
Open notional
$74.66
Total PnL
$-913.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 147- YES
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
341 shares @ 23.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.60
$-59.40
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
238 shares @ 16.8¢·now 7.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.77
$-21.23
- YES
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
160 shares @ 31.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.45
$-31.55
- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
210 shares @ 23.8¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.83
$-33.17
- YES
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?
2163 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
1194 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11AM ET
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?
206 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?
196 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$72.64Apr 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.00Jan 4, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$20.00Jan 3, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRanger FDV above $60M one day after launch?$20.00Jan 2, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRanger FDV above $40M one day after launch?$30.00Jan 2, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?$50.00Jan 1, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?$50.00Jan 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.36Dec 30, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?$20.00Dec 30, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$30.00Dec 30, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?$30.00Dec 30, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 30?$16.42Dec 29, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$20.00Dec 29, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?$10.00Dec 29, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 31?$3.00Dec 24, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 30?$3.00Dec 24, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $3.00Dec 24, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.78Dec 23, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Dec 23, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".