Alarming-Poignance
0x471788b58bed3374b1ab0498a9b1ce26e901beae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-639.68
Realised
$-72.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 23?
1656 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-67.41
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 23?
755 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-39.96
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 October 13-19?
630 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-81.94
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 21?
576 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-49.95
- YES
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
403 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 2?
400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-39.98
- YES
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?
331 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
318 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-34.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?
256 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-38.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.09Apr 5, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.00Apr 4, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.89Apr 4, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.98Apr 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 27, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.79Mar 27, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?$38.41Jan 19, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?$38.41Jan 19, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?$5.36Jan 18, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$5.36Jan 18, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$5.31Dec 19, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$79.53Dec 16, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$84.84Dec 16, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$52.35Dec 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? $22.52Dec 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$29.90Dec 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? $26.95Dec 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$26.95Dec 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$101.38Nov 26, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$101.37Nov 25, 12:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".