Lucky-Chapel
0x471c44335862ba5e38388cf9ccaca1775f8aa996
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$12.11
Total PnL
$-6.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 54.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.83
$0.83
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
2 shares @ 58.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.71
$0.71
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- HAWKS
Bucks vs. Hawks
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- RAPTORS
Suns vs. Raptors
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
3 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Heat$1.00Mar 11, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Hawks$1.00Mar 11, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Warriors$1.00Mar 11, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Raptors$1.00Mar 11, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$1.00Jan 6, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$1.00Jan 6, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.00Jan 6, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 6, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$1.00Jan 6, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 6, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Nov 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$1.00Oct 28, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $180 on August 22?$2.00Oct 28, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?$2.27Oct 28, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Oct 28, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Oct 8, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Sep 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $180 on August 22?$1.00Aug 19, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?$1.00Aug 7, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$1.00Jul 29, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.