Frugal-Lye
0x471c7185058841c3a36077ffd1e74e381a077345
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$11.45
Total PnL
$0.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
1 shares @ 81.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?
1 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will POTUS tweet 20-22 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill POTUS tweet 20-22 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$1.00Feb 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?$1.00Feb 7, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$6.00Feb 7, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?$2.00Feb 7, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.43Jan 17, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.76Jan 17, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.57Jan 17, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.44Jan 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.58Jan 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.76Jan 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another team win La Liga?$5.30Jan 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.28Jan 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.89Jan 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.90Jan 12, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win La Liga?$5.30Jan 12, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.28Jan 12, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.38Jan 9, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?$6.67Jan 9, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sevilla FC win La Liga?$6.96Jan 9, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?$6.67Jan 8, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".